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Prediction for CME (2017-09-06T12:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-09-06T12:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13013/-1
CME Note: Associated with X9.3 flare from AR 12673.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-07T22:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2017-09-08T02:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-08T16:30Z (+14.0h)
Prediction Method: ELEvo
Prediction Method Note: 
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Ellpise parameters:
Direction from Earth [deg.]:   10.0
Half width [deg.]:             50
Aspect ratio (a/b):     1.25
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DBM parameters:
Initial distance [solar radii]:              20.00
Initial time [UT]:     6-Sep-2017 15:00
Initial speed [km/s]:                 950.00
Drag parameter [E-07/km]:       0.20
Background solar wind speed [km/s]:   500
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Arrival time at Wind [UT]:      8-Sep-2017 16:30
Arrival speed at Wind [km/s]:  666
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Lead Time: 9.97 hour(s)
Difference: -18.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Tanja Amerstorfer (ASWO) on 2017-09-07T12:32Z
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